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2023-03-03-西南证券-京泉华-Q1同、环比均高速增长，业绩打开上升通道

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2023-03-03-西南证券-京泉华-Q1同、环比均高速增长，业绩打开上升通道
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京来华(002885)2023年一季报预告点评202A2022E2023E2024E2021A2022E2023E2024E1909.572572.063750.105654.9317.71147.44347.13562.22营业成本1693.002186.073124.824631.34折旧与摊销41.9849.0249.0249.02营业税金及册加3.987.049.9739.0218.27-13.69-24.16销售货用35.9677.1675.00113.10-14.07-30.00-20.00-10.0062.61180.04206.26311.02经营营运黄本变动-121.2425.83118.64249.69财务货用18.274.53-13.69-24.16其他-73.9226.6914.8319.45-14.07-30.00-20.00-10.00.131.26214.44258.64346.8413.321.001.001.000.000.000.00-8.692.76-3.55-3.8128.9961.43-2.55-2.81其他经营损益0.000.000.000.0025.7661.43-2.55-2.8112.35154.52365.20591.81短期借款66.24156.150.000.000.130.780.410.36-29.730.000.000.0012.47155.30365.61592.170.000.000.000.00所得税-5.247.8518.4929.95支付股利-6.30-3.99-29.01-68.1617.71147.44347.13562.220.27-50.5713.6924.16-2212.406.348.6330.48-210.70-15.32-43.9919.93145.05340.79553.5977.4465.17240.77300.042021A2022E2023E2024E2021A2022E2023E2024E货币黄金198.39263.57504.34804.38成长能力应收和预付款项683.991012.411471.632211.7245.35%34.69%45.80%50.79%存货407.91187.10281.23413.12营业利润增长率-59.11%1151.41%136.35%62.05%其他流动黄产54.0128.6840.1858.7743.66%732.32%135.43%61.96%0.000.000.000.00BTDA增长率-28.78%174.13%101.27%53.96%78.3712.2912.2912.29372.58328.60284.62240.63毛利率11.34%15.01%16.67%18.10%无彩资产和开发支出23.1319.3815.6311.886.12%9.82%7.13%7.07%51.4850.2048.9147.620.93%5.73%9.26%9.94%1869.861902.222658.823800.42ROE219%15.45%27.28%31.83%156.150.000.000.00ROA0.95%7.75%13.06%14.79%757.59787.391184.871766.62ROIC3.39%15.18%32.25%40.64%长期借款42.1342.1342.1342.133.80%7.74%10.68%10.90%104.57118.57159.57225.371060.44948.081386.572034.111.091.361.641.75股本180.00181.44181.44181.445.137.3412.2321.53240.57239.13239.13239.133.583.784.264.33395.05536.11847.881333.32存货周转率4.527.0112.9813.18813.10965.411267.191752.6278.93%-3.67-1.285.0613.69809.42954.131272.251766.3156.71%49.84%52.15%53.52%1869.861902.222658.823800.42带息债务感负债18.70%4.44%3.04%2.07%流动比率1.351.691.741.772021A2022E2023E2024E速动比率0.941.481.531.56EBITDA72.60199.00400.53616.66股利支付率31.59%2.75%8.51%12.31%E340.1446.7319.8912.248.347.095.353.870.110.801.883.05PS3.552.641.811.204.485.276.989.66EV/EBITDA89.6332.5515.579.63每股经营现金-0.721.181.431.910.09%0.06%0.43%1.01%每股股利0.030.020.160.38请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分