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2023-03-20-西南证券-口子窖-激励计划落定，势能向上可期

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2023-03-20-西南证券-口子窖-激励计划落定，势能向上可期
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2021A2022E2023E2024E2021A2022E2023E2024E5028.605145.675977.686911.221727.091673.711964.072290.67营业成本1312.401358.981519.821720.49折旧与摊销178.91280.23339.59382.76营业税金及册加768.36786.76914.381056.83-11.18-51.30.41.48-52.14销售货用639.28632.92747.21863.90-3.360.000.000.00253.94236.70269.00317.92经营营运黄本变动.386.74-758.66-276.74-346.24-11.18-51.30-41.48-52.14-719.17-49.90-49.32-49.24-3.360.000.000.00785.551094.071936.122225.8142.1850.0050.0050.00-713.67-800.00-600.00-600.0016.010.000.000.00985.8550.0050.0050.00其他经营损益0.000.000.000.00272.18-750.00-550.00-550.002360.992231.622618.763054.230.000.000.000.003.920.000.000.00长期借款0.000.000.000.002364.912231.622618.763054.230.000.000.000.00所得税637.82557.90654.69763.56支付股利-716.24-1208.96-1171.60-1374.851727.091673.711964.072290.67-3.7247.7041.4852.140.000.000.000.00-719.96-1161.26-1130.12-1322.711727.091673.711964.072290.67337.77-817.19256.00353.10202A2022E2023E2024E2021A2022E2023E2024E1881.061063.871319.871672.97成长能力648.09663.60769.34888.53销售枚入增长率25.37%2.33%16.17%15.62%存货3541.183667.484103.604647.7339.94%-5.48%17.35%16.63%758.76758.81759.23759.6935.38%-3.09%17.35%16.63%0.000.000.000.00田TDA增长率38.60%-2.70%18.55%16.04%83.7383.7383.7383.73固定资产和在建工程3212.703794.944120.664406.06毛利率73.90%73.59%74.58%75.11%无形资产和开发支出528.95466.49401.18333.0217.54%15.90%16.31%16.35%其他非流动黄产376.43376.43376.43376.43净刹率34.35%32.53%32.86%33.14%11030.8910875.3411934.0313168.16ROE20.94%19.21%20.66%21.98%短期借款0.000.000.000.00ROA15.66%15.39%16.46%17.40%1496.941541.931753.972004.67ROIC34.16%25.94%26.63%28.51%长期借款0.000.000.000.0050.29%47.82%48.80%48.98%其他负债1284.54619.25673.43741.03负债合计2781.482161.182427.402745.700.480.470.520.55股本600.00600.00600.00600.002.642.041.861.92976.88976.88976.88976.881065.41994.721056.961054.636821.467286.218078.698994.51存货周转率0.410.380.390.398249.418714.169506.6410422.4696.98%少数股东权益0.000.000.000.008249.418714.169506.6410422.4625.22%19.87%20.34%20.85%11030.8910875.3411934.0313168.16带息债务总负债0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%流动比率2.613.083.073.082021A2022E2023E2024E速动比率1.251.241.261.29EBITDA2528.732460.542916.873384.85股利支付率41.47%72.23%59.65%60.02%E24.5325.3221.5718.50PB5.144.864.464.072.882.793.273.82PS8438.237.096.1313.7514.5215.8417.37EV/EBITDA15.4716.2313.6011.62每股经营现金1.311.823.233.711.69%285%2.77%3.24%1.192.011.952.29请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分