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2023-04-26-西南证券-上海港湾-订单饱满，业绩有望延续高增

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2023-04-26-西南证券-上海港湾-订单饱满，业绩有望延续高增
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上海港湾(605598)2022年年报点评2022A2023E2024E2025E2022A2023E2024E2025E885.111077.131336.951703.82156.79187.69239.63313.25营业成本563.43677.82833.741054.10折旧与摊销50.2821.3322.6824.03营业税金及附加0.811.221.411.84-16.23-5.12-10.76销售货用7.916.738.9112.255.15-0.130.731.91研发管理货用138.41171.81217.28271.71经营营运黄本变动47.57143.12-128.29-194.09财务货用-16.235.12-10.76-10.91其他-14.6416.01-12.46-2.435.15-0.130.731.91133.7876.66111.53131.782841.702.271.99-28.96-30.00-30.00-30.001.351.011.121.09-234.3758.51-64.51-83.16其他经营损益0.000.000.000.00-263.34-88.51-94.51-113.16190.71227.25290.48379.81短期借款0.000.000.000.00-0.580.360.110.050.320.000.000.00190.13227.60290.59379.860.000.000.000.00所得税33.3439.9150.9666.61支付股利0.00-11.52-16.09-22.02156.79187.69239.63313.25-12.3127.726.827.170.000.000.000.00-12.0016.20-9.28-14.85156.79187.69239.63313.25.129.364.357.753.772022A2023E2024E2025E2022A2023E2024E2025E货币黄金527.23531.58539.32543.10成长能力应收和预付款项368.12477.21584.89742.6020.50%21.70%24.12%27.44%存货45.9355.1265.9784.89营业利润增长率121.87%19.16%27.82%30.75%其他流动黄产605.39722.73881.301089.00155.61%19.71%27.67%30.72%0.000.000.000.00BTDA增长率74.21%8.32%24.21%29.94%11.4211.4211.4211.42261.32272.58283.78292.04毛利率36.34%37.07%37.64%38.13%无彩资产和开发支出0.830.620.410.1914.70%16.10%16.11%16.03%37.2634.5625.7920.0617.71%17.43%17.92%18.39%1857.512105.822392.872783.28ROE10.02%10.67%12.12%13.84%0.000.000.000.00ROA8.44%8.91%10.01%11.25%252.80304.12370.24471.28ROIC20.07%21.79%23.07%25.35%长期借款0.910.910.910.91田TDA/销售枚入25.39%22.60%22.62%23.06%39.3441.4144.0048.48293.05346.44415.16520.670.500.540.590.66股本172.74172.74172.74172.743.594.034.815.92696.31696.31696.31696.312.642.632.582.65737.56913.731137.271428.51存货周转率9.5913.4013.5313.701564.461759.381977.722262.6294.68%0.000.000.000.001564.461759.381977.722262.6215.78%16.45%17.35%18.71%1857.512105.822392.872783.28带息债务感负债0.31%0.26%0.22%0.17%流动比率5.845.665.415.072022A2023E2024E2025E速动比率5.675.495.244.89EBITDA224.76243.46302.40392.94股利支付率0.00%6.14%6.72%7.03%E35.8429.9423.4517.943.593.192.842.480.911.091.391.81PS5.224.203.309.0610.1811.4513.10EV/EBITDA20.9519.0815.1111.40每股经营现金0.770.440.650.760.00%0.21%0.29%0.39%每股股利0.000.070.090.13请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分