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2023-07-17-中国银河-贵州茅台-保持高质量成长

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2023-07-17-中国银河-贵州茅台-保持高质量成长
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中国银河证券CHINA GALAXY SECURITIES公司点评公司财务预测表2023E2024E2025E20222023E2024E2025E216611.44269780.37367693.91479622.84127553.96149264.59172313.62197647.02现金58274.32113867.26207453.47313948.79营业成本101992010093.4711194.8412578.8920.9420.1523.3026.76营业税金及附加18495.8221344.8424640.8528263.52其它应收款31.8240.3146.5953.533297.723731.614307.844941.18预付寒款897.38706.54783.64880.529012.1910448.5212061.9513835.29存货38824.3738691.6442913.5748219.09-1391.81-1493.45-1723.31-1976.04其他118562.61116454.48116473.34116494.14资产减值损失0.000.000.000.0037753.3740769.0044034.5447526.32公允价值变动收益0.000.000.000.00长期授资0.000.000.000.0063.840.000.000.0019742.6222198.2724805.7527560.08营业利润87879.5210496034121629.13139776.52无形资产7083.187933.188783.189633.1870.8570.0070.0070.00其他10927.5710637.5510445.6110333.07营业外支出248.88240.00240.00240.00254364.8031054937411728.45527149.1687701.49104790.34121459.13139606.5249065.6759078.6569177.5579994.43所得税223263526233.1030378.9535002.690.000.000.000.00净利润65375.1478557.2391080.18104603.83应付寒款2408.372383.182643232970.02少数股东损益2658.693098.203587.844133.91其他46657.3056695.4766534.3277024.42归属母公司净利润62716.4475459.0387492.34100469.92334.45497.08497.08497.08EBITDA88112.11105434.9012213528140313.700.000.000.000.00PS(元)49.9360.0769.6579.98其他334.45497.08497.08497.0849400.1259575.7269674.6380491.5120222023E2024E2025E7458.0210556.2214144.0618277.9716.53%17.02%15.44%14.70%197506.67240417.42327909.76428379.68营业利润17.56%19.44%15.88%14.92%254364.8031054937411728.45527149.16归属母公司净利润19.55%20.32%15.95%14.83%毛利率91.87%93.04%93.33%93.47%2023E2024E2025E净利率50.54%52.00%52.16%52.14%36698.6091356.0399431.25112850.34ROE31.75%31.39%26.68%23.45%净利润65375.1478557.2391080.18104603.833136%30.80%26.22%23.07%1688.452138.022399.462683.2119.42%19.18%16.92%15.27%12.0210.0310.0310.03净负债比率24.10%23.74%20.37%18.02%-63.840.000.000.00流动比率4.414.576.00营运资金变动-29126.7010332.525771.585383.27速动比率1.191.933.003.93其它-1186.4731823170.00170.000.490.510.460.41-5536.83-3185.65-5835.006345.0011854.517062.687720.897698.73-5306.19-5096.29-5780.00-6290.004.574.214.454.48-210.00-100.00-50.00-50.00每股收益49.9360.0769.6579.98其他-20.642010.64-5.00-5.00每股经营现金29.2172.7279.1589.83-57424.53-32577.75-10.03-10.03每股净资产157.2319139261.03341.010.000.000.000.00P/E35.1129.1825.1721.920.000.000.000.00P/B11.159.166.725.14其他-57424.53-32577.75-10.03-10.03EV/EBITDA23.9719.8116.3413.46-26261.8555592.9493586.22106495.31P/S17.2614.7512.7811.14请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有很公司免责声明。2